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Spring 2000 High School Scenario C


INTRODUCTION

This scenario is an introduction to the issues for negotiation in the ICONS simulation. The scenario is not meant to be the principal resource for the development of your policies or the conduct of your negotiations. It is a starting point. You now need to take the information from this scenario and research your nation's position on these issues in order to represent your country as accurately as possible during the simulation.

The setting for the simulation is summer 2000. The simulation is set ahead in time so that current events will have no effect on the simulation once it begins.

The issues for negotiation in this simulation will be:

The simulation participants will be: Australia, Austria, Brazil, Canada, China(PRC), France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Jordan, Kenya, Mexico, North Korea, Pakistan, Palestinians, Poland, Russia, South Korea, United Kingdom and the United States.

In addition to daily message exchanges between countries, conferences are held so real-time negotiations can take place. Each conference is scheduled for a specific time of day, and there are two conferences for each issue. (For example, there will be two conferences held on International Security, two conferences held on Global Environment and so on.) The Issues for Negotiation found at the end of each negotiation topic's description in the scenario will be the basis for negotiations in each conference. In general, countries do not participate in every conference topic (with the exception of Human Rights and International Trade). Since all countries do participate in the Human Rights and International Trade conferences, it is necessary to divide the conferences on these issues into separate groups. Make sure to confirm which of these groups your country is assigned to by checking the Conference Schedule.

The following countries are scheduled to participate in the listed conferences:

International Security:  Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, North Korea, Pakistan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA

Global Environment: Australia, Austria, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Indonesia, Jordan, Kenya, Mexico, North Korea, Pakistan, Palestinians, Poland, Russia, UK, USA

Human Rights: All countries will participate in the human rights conferences.

International Debt and Development: Australia, Austria, Brazil, Canada, France, India, Indonesia, Kenya, Mexico, Poland, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA

International Trade: All countries will participate in the international trade conferences.

World Health: Australia, Austria, Brazil, China, Germany, India, Indonesia, Jordan, Kenya, Mexico, North Korea, Pakistan, Palestinians, Poland, South Korea, USA

Simulation Issues

INTERNATIONAL SECURITY

International security remains a topic at the forefront of international relations. The 1990s began with the end of the Cold War, but has seen an escalation in regional and civil conflict, illegal arms sales and the spread of nuclear weapons.. The efforts by the West and Russia to reduce both conventional and nuclear stockpiles, in some cases, has been overshadowed by the efforts of smaller nations to upgrade their military capabilities and technologies. The push by some nations to augment their weapons capabilities has caused some international observers to speculate about the hidden agendas some may have. There is also concern that some of these newly acquired weapons could be diverted to terrorist organizations, smuggled across borders, or simply be stolen due to lax security procedures. The drive to augment military capability conflicts with efforts by various bodies within the international community to reduce weapons stockpiles, ban the production of highly lethal weapons, persuade nations to agree to international arms control treaties, and control terrorism.

Counter-Terrorism
The threat posed by the widespread proliferation of arms and military technology especially to groups engaged in terrorism has become a major concern internationally. While many governments have concerned themselves with producing or acquiring more weapons, they have also had to take steps to counteract the growing menace of terrorism at the same time. Many observers feel that the efforts made by some countries to increase their military capability has either directly or indirectly increased the ability of terrorists to acquire weapons of destruction. Some believe that a few countries covertly divert weapons to terrorist groups, while others believe that loose governmental control of some technologies has dramatically increased the supply of weapons on the international black-market, and in turn, allowed terrorists to acquire more sophisticated weapons. Much of the weaponry available on the international black-market comes from the arsenals of the former communist countries of eastern Europe as well as covert support of certain insurgent groups in the past by government agencies such as the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency. (The insurgent groups use the weapons for their purposes, and then sell them illegally.)

Efforts to counteract terrorism internationally are extremely difficult. In many cases, terrorist organizations locate themselves in countries where they know the government does not have the capability to actively monitor their activities, or where certain factions within the government might be sympathetic to their activities. Often times, these issues make it difficult for one country to take direct action against hostile terrorist organizations located in another country; any steps taken to neutralize a terrorist threat could be viewed as an attack on a sovereign state, and not just the terrorist organization operating within that particular country's borders.

In recent years, the threat of terrorist attack by way of chemical or biological agents has heightened concern by the international community as suspected chemical and biological weapons factories have been reported in countries known to contain terrorist organizations. Chemical and biological agents are relatively easy to smuggle across borders, and very small amounts released into the atmosphere can be deadly. (In Japan in 1995, the Aum Shinrikyo cult released a small amount Sarin gas into the Tokyo subway in protest against Japanese society and government killing 26 people and injuring hundreds of others.) The international community has attempted to address the lethality of chemical and biological weapons by introducing treaties to ban their production, development and use-- the Biological Weapons Convention was completed and opened for signature in April 1972, and the Chemical Weapons Convention was entered into force in April 1997. By signing and ratifying these treaties governments agree to abide by their terms, but in several instances, terrorist groups operating within countries who have signed and ratified these have proven that they can still acquire these illegal substances through the black-market. The task for the international community is to find a way to keep weapons of mass destruction, particularly chemical and biological weapons, off of the black-market where terrorists can acquire them, and continue to cooperatively address the international threat of terrorism at the same time.

Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Nuclear proliferation refers to the spread of nuclear arms, material, and technology to countries that do not possess it. In 1996, 178 nations extended the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) of 1968 which agreed to limit nuclear weapons to the five declared nuclear nations--United States, France, United Kingdom, China, and Russia. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), is responsible for its enforcement.

Currently, a few nations are under the watchful eye of the IAEA and the international community. India, Pakistan and Israel currently possess nuclear capabilities, but will not sign the NPT. (India and Pakistan tested nuclear weapons in May 1998. Israel has not yet tested, but is widely believed to have the capability.) North Korea, Iran, and Iraq, (all NPT signatories) create serious concerns because they are at different stages of nuclear development. The former Soviet Union possessed one of the largest nuclear arsenals and the instability of Russia and its former republics continues to worry many experts particularly because many of these weapons and some of the materials used to build them cannot be accounted for.

Serious questions remain regarding the enforcement of the NPT. The treaty deals with more than the single issue of non-proliferation of nuclear weapons; it is the basis of a larger effort to control nuclear technology through nuclear safeguards. Furthermore, it attempts to promote cooperation between nuclear and non-nuclear weapon states on the peaceful uses of nuclear technology. France and China are concerned with this as both countries are major exporters of nuclear technology for use in energy production. The problem with peaceful use of nuclear energy arises because materials produced by nuclear reactors in energy production can also be used in the development of nuclear weapons. This is known as the "dual use" dilemma. The NPT's support for promoting peaceful uses of nuclear energy has complicated the arms control mission of the treaty by raising questions regarding how states can distinguish between nuclear technology for peaceful and military purposes, and how states can be monitored for one use but not the other.

Issues for Negotiation:

COUNTER-TERRORISM

a. What can the international community do to effectively respond to potential or real threats that terrorist organizations present? Can action be taken to keep weapons of mass destruction off of the black-market?

b. Should sanctions be imposed on the countries where known terrorist organizations reside? What implications would sanctions have?

NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION

a. How can non-signatories like India, Pakistan or Israel be encouraged to sign the NPT?

b. How can current signatories, such as Iran and North Korea be prevented from cheating or violating the terms of the NPT?

c. Can the "dual use" dilemma be avoided? How?

There will be two conferences held on International Security that will specifically examine the issues for negotiation listed above. The first conference will cover the Counter-Terrorism issues and the second will cover the Nuclear Non-Proliferation issues.


GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT

Throughout human history, the earth has sustained itself and its species through natural processes of environmental regulation and regeneration. However, scientists speak of "thresholds" beyond which natural systems will not be able to perform these tasks. During recent history, humans have developed the capability to change their environment, whether purposefully (such as by building dams) or accidently, and there is increasing evidence that human activity threatens the health of the planet's environment.

Global Warming
Global warming, the gradual rise in the earth's average surface temperature, is one of the foremost international environmental concerns. Many scientists believe a major cause of global warming is the burning of fossil fuels. Typically released by industrial emissions and automobiles, these gases, primarily carbon dioxide, trap heat in the earth's atmosphere. Scientists speculate that this "greenhouse effect" may lead to major environmental changes including severe changes in weather patterns and coastal flooding caused by melting polar caps. However, other scientists dismiss this theory and contend that the fluctuation in the earth's surface temperature is a natural phenomenon and that there is not enough evidence to prove that the earth is experiencing a significant or permanent climatic change.

Differences of opinion still remain over who is responsible for slowing down the rate of global warming. Brazil and many other developing nations claim that the industrialized countries are responsible for global warming, and now these industrialized countries are asking the developing countries to bear the responsibility of solving the crisis at the expense of their own development. Industrialized countries argue that developing countries are rapidly increasing their responsibility for global warming because they continue their quest to industrialize while ignoring the need for environmental regulations. The industrialized countries also state that when research findings indicated some of the causes of the greenhouse effect, they began taking steps to reduce its impact by implementing energy-efficient, pollution-friendly technologies, such as moving to cleaner burning fuels, and retrofitting factories with equipment that cuts their pollution output. Industrialized countries claim that developing countries have not taken similar steps to address the problem. Currently, most developing countries continue to rely on extremely old technologies, and argue that the costs of implementing new technologies prohibits them from making these changes. It is expected that within 15 years, developing countries will overtake industrialized countries in per capita emissions output.

In December 1997, an international conference on global warming was held in Kyoto, Japan. The conference was an extension of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Control of 1992. The Kyoto conference concluded with 159 nations agreeing to the terms of the Kyoto Protocol which requires industrialized nations to cut their greenhouse gas emissions to a rate roughly 6 percent lower than their 1990 emissions levels by the year 2012. Under the terms of the agreement, developing countries are not obligated to meet any emission reduction levels. The U.S. held out until the last minute before agreeing to the terms because it was concerned over the exemption of developing countries, including large polluters such as China, India, Mexico and Brazil. Nearly three years later, the effect of the Protocol still remains unclear.

Deforestation
Like global warming, deforestation has the potential to adversely effect the earth's environmental and ecological balance. In developing countries, forests are disappearing at alarmingly rapid rates. Perhaps the world's most important forest, the Amazon rainforest in Brazil, is being depleted at a rate of 5,000- 10,000 square miles(8,000-16,000 square kilometers) per year. Vietnam has lost half its forest cover in the wake of various development projects. Ninety percent of lowland forests in the Philippines have disappeared, and large portions of the Indonesian rainforest has been cleared.

The effects of deforestation run deeper than just the loss of resources. Deforestation often leads to soil erosion and desertification, making the land unsuitable for any type of agriculture. Furthermore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Brunei, are often subject to unhealthy air conditions due to smoke from the slash and burn clearing of Indonesian forests. The smoke-generated pollution from these forest clearing fires has gotten much worse in recent years spreading throughout the region (as far as Thailand and the Philippines). In addition, these fires, which are set to clear land quickly, have raged out of control for weeks at a time and cover the entire region in a dark, murky haze.

Developing countries continue to argue that their forests are closely tied to their economic development, and that for them to slow the rate at which they use their forests would severely impact their already weak economies. Over the years, developing nations have felt they were receiving contradictory messages; promote economic development through industrialization and trade and protect the environment by saving the rain forests and controlling emissions. Furthermore, there seems to be a growing rift between economic "haves" and "have-nots" in regards to environmental conditions. Japan, in particular, has been praised for preserving its forests, and at the same time criticized for its high rates of consumption of lumber imported from Southeast Asian nations, such as Vietnam. Japan's importation of lumber has provided great financial incentives for poorer countries in Southeast Asia to export their forest resources with little concern for future consequences.

A statement of principles on deforestation was released at the 1992 Conference on Environment and Development in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (the Rio "Earth Summit"). The statement recognizes the economic benefits of the rain forests as well as the global need to preserve them. The statement does not require any specific actions by rain forest countries, which resist a binding treaty out of concern for their national interests.

Issues for negotiation:

GLOBAL WARMING

a. Should the Kyoto Protocol be carried out according to its terms? If not, what changes should be made to ensure that those countries who have signed the Protocol will meet its terms?

b. Should developing countries be held to the same standard as industrialized countries in terms of meeting a specific percentage of reduction in greenhouse emissions by a specific date? If so, what help is necessary to accomplish this? If not, what other arrangement can nations agree to?

DEFORESTATION

a. Should there be limits set by the international community that state how certain countries can use their forests?

b. Are there any other steps that can be taken to alleviate deforestation?

There will be two conferences held on Global Environment that will specifically examine the issues for negotiation listed above. The first conference will cover the Global Warming issues and the second will cover the Deforestation issues.


HUMAN RIGHTS

Defining Human Rights
One of the principal problems in the protection of human rights lies in the inability of governments to agree on a common definition of human rights. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights was unanimously adopted by the United Nations on December 10, 1948. It guarantees many individual, social, economic and political rights, including free movement, the right to work, the right to an adequate standard of living for health and well-being, and the right to an education. However, the declaration is non-binding. Consequently, more than 50 years after the UNDHR came into force, formulating a binding definition of human rights still remains a highly controversial issue for the international community.

Attempting to define basic human rights is often difficult as many countries have differing positions on what a basic definition of human rights should contain. Many democratic countries believe that basic human rights lie in the freedom of self-determination, where citizens have a voice in their government and an influence on the policies their elected representatives pursue. Some non-democratic countries believe that basic human rights mean that the state itself is responsible for providing for the well-being of its citizens, such as providing food, shelter and employment. Furthermore, less developed countries often argue that citizens could not survive if it were not for the efforts of the government to provide for their immediate needs. On occasion, there has been some discussion of attempting to make the UNDHR a binding treaty. Some countries find this to be a controversial topic since a binding treaty would, in effect, require them to alter their systems of government in order to fully comply with the how the UNDHR currently reads. At the same time, while some countries may not be in favor of making the UNDHR a binding treaty, they continue to state that basic human rights should be protected.

Women's Rights
The September 1995 World Conference on Women in Beijing, China focused global attention on the issue of unequal treatment of women due to social, cultural and economic forces. A United Nations Development Fund study on the status of women throughout the world, which was released shortly before the conference, revealed that women are the primary victims of poverty and violence, receive lower pay than male counterparts, work longer hours, and face social, cultural, and professional obstacles. In addition, particularly in many developing countries, women have far less access to education than men. Worldwide, in 1995 the estimated number of illiterate women aged 15 and over in developing countries was about 556 million compared with 315 million illiterate men.

The discussion of the rights of women is constrained by cultural and economic realities. Muslim countries are unwilling to accept total gender equality for religious reasons. Many predominately Catholic countries have reservations regarding the wording of reproductive rights. Other nations face economic obstacles that prevent them from addressing the rights of women. Further, in many countries, laws are written to reflect the fact that women should be treated differently from men. Evidence of these laws are most extreme in Afghanistan where the Taliban has imposed strict interpretation of Islamic law. In this case, women are not allowed to leave home unless they are completely covered and accompanied by a male relative, they are barred from working and have very limited access to education and health care.

While studies have revealed that education and improved employment for women reduces population growth and poverty, many countries lack the resources to provide these opportunities. Of particular concern is the lack of effective contraception, which leads to frequent pregnancies and large family sizes, both of which inflict a burden on a woman's health and economic well-being. Contraception may be unavailable due to expense, lack of access to a health clinic, or religious considerations. Countries involved in these negotiations will concentrate on developing an international approach to women's rights issues while attempting to improving the status of women.

Issues for Negotiation:

DEFINING HUMAN RIGHTS

a. Does the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UNDHR) define human rights adequately?

b. Should an attempt be made to make the UNDHR an internationally binding treaty? Would the document have to be altered in any way for this to occur? How would a binding UNDHR be enforced?

WOMEN'S RIGHTS

a. Should the international community establish special provisions that will specifically protect the rights and status of women? If so, what should these include?

b. Is it a violation of sovereignty for one nation or a group of nations to dictate how another country should treat its citizens whether they are male or female?

There will be two conferences held on Human Rights that will specifically examine the issues for negotiation listed above. The first conference will cover the issues of Defining Human Rights and the second will cover Women's Rights issues.


INTERNATIONAL DEBT AND DEVELOPMENT

Debt Options
Many developing countries continue to struggle with large foreign debt; in many cases, they are still trying to repay loans that were originally acquired in the 1970s. During that decade, many developing countries took out huge loans in an attempt to build their national economies. Western banks had excess capital and were eager to lend it to the lesser developed countries (LDCs) for development purposes. By the 1980s, though, these borrowing nations found themselves unable to service their debt (that is, pay back the interest and principal on the loan according to the terms of the lenders), while generating enough income for their own domestic expenditures. Even today, many of these countries continue to spend much more money trying to repay their foreign debt, than they do on their domestic programs. As a result, economic development in many LDCs has suffered.

To try and get an handle on their foreign debt, many nations have worked to restructure their debt much like homeowners who refinance their mortgages. In this case, debtor nations negotiate with lenders to reduce the interest on the debt they owe, or try to lengthen the repayment period of the loan. Debt forgiveness has also helped developing countries lessen their debt burden. This occurs when a lender agrees to forgive some of the money it is owed by the borrowing country. Debt forgiveness is costly for the lender, though, as forgiven loans are never repaid. Most often, debt forgiveness only applies to official debt owed to a lending country and does not include private debt (money borrowed from commercial institutions), or money owed to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), or World Bank. In addition, in the long-term, debt forgiveness may affect a country's ability to acquire new loans. Lenders might be weary to provide new loans to a country that in the past has demonstrated that it cannot repay its debts and may seek further debt forgiveness in the future.

In 1999, the world's seven wealthiest industrialized nations pledged to help 30 of the world's poorest countries (located mainly in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America) by agreeing to forgive more than half of the combined debt these poor countries owe them, the IMF and the World Bank. (The 1999 plan was an attempt to expand upon the Highly Indebted Poor Countries--HIPC--initiative created by the World Bank in 1995.) In return for the partial debt forgiveness, the countries who qualify must spend the money they would have spent servicing their debt, on improving education and health programs in their countries. In this case, the private debt that these countries hold (which is considerable) will not be affected by the plan. The effectiveness of the World Bank's HIPC initiative has come under increased scrutiny lately, though, as some of the countries who qualified for the original HIPC program in 1995 have once again found themselves faced with unsustainable foreign debt.

Questions remain for the international community on the best way to relieve the crushing debt developing countries have accumulated.

Development Strategies
A closely related problem to debt is economic development. LDCs are limited in their resources to develop a strong and diverse domestic economy that will remain stable over a long period of time. Certainly, debt servicing works to reduce the amount of capital that a country can put towards development efforts. Several attempts have been made by the international community over the last four decades to increase economic development in lesser developed countries, but the results have been less than satisfying.

Trade has been proposed as a primary solution to global development efforts. Nations that are suffering from underdeveloped economies have been encouraged to open their economies to foreign investment and development in order to provide additional products and employment opportunities for their citizens. Furthermore, by emphasizing production for export (known as export-led growth) developing countries can earn additional hard currency to pay existing debts, and can develop sources of income to reduce the need for additional debts. Offering a variety of exports can also allow countries to alleviate the risk of relying on one major export which can lead to losses if the price of the commodity sinks on the international market. Further, dependence on a single crop or product can create additional vulnerability in the economy if a crop's yield is poor or there are problems with the production of a certain product.

Opponents of trade as a tool for development point out that emphasizing production for export can lead the government to ignore production for domestic consumption. This results in serious shortages at home. These opponents also argue that opening the economy and markets of a developing country to foreign competition reduces the likelihood that local citizens will be able to develop businesses and sell their products in the international market because of the competition from global corporations. Although they agree that additional jobs are created by the arrival of foreign corporations, they argue that these jobs are often low paying and simply freeze their citizens in their poverty without providing opportunities for economic growth or self-sufficiency.

Another possible solution put forth to solve economic development efforts is industrialization. Many LDCs want a diverse economy of factories, agriculture and other modes of production that resemble those of developed countries. The construction of factories, which creates both jobs and exports, requires capital, which is not readily available in LDCs. Additionally, foreign producers have often been reluctant to invest in developing countries because of high taxes, strict regulations, patent questions, possible political unrest, and the potential for a hostile takeover of foreign businesses by the local government. Conversely, many LDC governments have opposed investments by foreign businesses because profits usually go back to the home country. Meanwhile, the infrastructure of most developing countries is in desperate need of improvement, and the resources for infrastructure improvements are not available. Despite these obstacles, many corporations do decide to locate their businesses in foreign countries because of lower wages.

Concern over the harmful effects of Western-style development strategies has led to a development approach known as sustainable development. Sustainable development programs attempt to consider economic conditions, local cultural and political traditions, environmental concerns, and long term benefits. Basically, sustainable development works to meet the current needs of the population without jeopardizing the needs of future generations. The concept focuses on the basic needs of citizens and the limitations of their environment in which they live. It focuses on developing a region's unique or already existing resources rather than relying on an imported source. These programs also tend to focus on health, education, and women's issues where appropriate. Some observers claim that sustainable development should not be relied on exclusively because it cannot produce enough products to supply both foreign and domestic needs.

Issues for Negotiation:

DEBT OPTIONS

a. What sort of support should be given to developing countries who are unable to manage their foreign debt?

b. Is debt forgiveness a good solution? What should the criteria be for a country to qualify for debt forgiveness? What will indebted countries have to do in return for debt forgiveness?

DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES

a. What economic development tactics might best relieve LDCs debt and dependency cycle? Heavy industrialization? Sustainable development? Increased trade?

b. Can the international community agree on an overall method or formula for development that LDCs should follow that focuses on self-reliance and eases such strong dependency on other countries?

There will be two conferences held on International Debt and Development that will specifically examine the issues for negotiation listed above. The first conference will cover the Debt Options issues and the second will cover the Development Strategies issues.


INTERNATIONAL TRADE

Regional Trade Agreements
One trend with uncertain consequences for global trade is that toward regional trade agreements. Countries that become part of a regional trade agreement drastically reduce tariffs and other trade barriers on goods entering from other member countries. Some of the larger regional trade agreements are the European Union (EU), the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and the Southern Cone Common Market (Mercosur) comprised of some South American countries. African leaders are also making strides towards an African Economic Community, and members of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) have also committed themselves to the creation of an ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA). The impact of regional trade agreements on international trade is an important issue within the World Trade Organization (WTO).

The World Trade Organization evolved from another organization called the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) (The name GATT commonly refers to both the agreement and the institution that oversaw it.) GATT was begun over 50 years ago to create and strengthen trade relationships internationally between participating countries. The WTO was created by GATT members in 1995 to essentially replace the GATT organization, and continue its work towards a system of global free trade. All of the agreements that were reached under GATT are still in place, though, and are now overseen by the WTO. The differences between the old GATT and new WTO is that the WTO has much more power to set and enforce rules for international trade. The WTO works to resolve disputes over tariffs, subsidies, product dumping, agricultural products, and intellectual property rights. The WTO continues to oversee trade agreements among member its member nations, including regional trade agreements.

Some observers believe that regional trade agreements may not be as good as they seem on the surface. These observers fear that these agreements may undermine the global trading system, as countries become accustomed to the preferential arrangements of trading only with other members, and become less willing to pursue a system of global free trade. In this case, these agreements turn into "trade fortresses" that essentially slow or block trade with non-member countries, something that the EU has been accused of. This puts non-member countries at an extreme disadvantage when they are unable to compete with the small or non-existent tariffs offered to member countries. This could have serious consequences for those countries who rely heavily on imports, and are not part of a regional trade agreement.

Child Labor
A current challenge facing the international community, and the WTO in particular, is trying to determine the extent to which international trade rules should govern issues which have previously been considered part of a country's domestic policy. Child labor is one of these issues. In order to compete in the global economy, many developing countries continue to rely on children to supplement their labor forces. According to recent global estimates by the International Labor Organizations (ILO), the number of working children between the ages of 5 and 14 in developing countries is nearly 250 million, and of these, some 120 million work full time. These estimates suggest that Africa, the poorest region, has the highest incidence of child workers--40 percent, while the figure in both Asia and Latin America is about 20 percent each. But Asia, the most populous region, has the largest absolute numbers of child workers. The U.S. and other European countries, in particular, are concerned about the use of child laborers, but developing nations, led by India, Pakistan, and Egypt, view the proposals on child labor put forth by developed countries as interference in their domestic policies, and as an attempt to undermine their market advantage--cheap labor.

Globalization and trade liberalization may make the problem of child labor worse. As corporations and countries attempt to cut production costs in export industries, they may be tempted to employ children to acquire or maintain a competitive advantage in world markets. Such fears have fueled calls for a "social clause" in international trade agreements that would require children under a certain age would not be permitted to work. Further, the issue of the age at which childhood ends and adulthood begins, has been a difficult one for the international community to come to terms on. This age may vary from society to society based on differing customs, values and laws. Poverty also makes restrictions on child labor difficult as families in many regions require as many able-bodied people to work as possible in order to survive. The possibility of using negative economic incentives to discourage child labor has been gaining momentum, but developing countries continue to claim that it is nearly impossible for them to regulate child labor.

Issues for Negotiation:

REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS

a. Are regional trade agreements working to move the world closer to or farther away from global free trade?

b. If RTAs are working to move the world closer to global free trade, what actions should be taken by the WTO to improve trade relationships in order to reach this goal? If not, what actions should be taken by the WTO to counteract the negative effects of regional trade agreements?

CHILD LABOR

a. As global trade expands, should the international community move to create trade rules that would end child labor? If so, what specific rules should be made in this regard?

b. What implications would a trade policy that effects child labor have on developing countries?

There will be two conferences held on International Trade that will specifically examine the issues for negotiation listed above.The first conference will cover the Regional Trade Agreements issues and the second will cover Child Labor issues.


WORLD HEALTH

Communicable Diseases
According to the World Health Organization (WHO), communicable diseases killed nearly 17 million people in 1998, with 90 percent of these deaths occurring in developing countries. (Infectious diseases are more likely to affect poor or rural people, while higher income individuals, who have a higher life expectancy, are more affected by non-communicable diseases such as cancer and heart disease.) Communicable diseases are currently the world's leading cause of death.

Many communicable diseases are preventable or curable, but can have devastating effects when left untreated. Despite the fact that it can be effectively treated with drugs, tuberculosis killed 1.5 million people worldwide in 1998. Cholera, an intestinal disease spread by contaminated food and water, has become increasingly widespread over the past several years. With good treatment, the fatality rate for those afflicted with cholera can be less than one percent. Death from cholera can come quickly, however, where treatment is not available. As in the case of cholera, environmental conditions associated with poverty make disease more likely to occur, while poverty itself often prevents effective treatment.

One of the most troubling aspects of these outbreaks is the potential difficulty in containing them. A great deal of contagious diseases are transmitted through the air--that is, they spread easily via air currents, which allows certain diseases to spread from person to person very rapidly without respect to barriers or international borders. In addition, mechanized transportation, including global air travel, has made it possible for diseases to spread rapidly beyond the primary area of contamination. These factors have raised concerns that the next epidemic will not be so quickly contained. (These concerns are important not just for swift-acting epidemics, but for diseases that cause chronic infections, such as malaria, a mosquito-transmitted disease that kills nearly 5,000 Africans a day. Some strains of malaria are becoming increasingly resistant to existing drugs.)

Another communicable disease, AIDS, continues to be a problem. Although AIDS has been detected throughout the world, it is of particular concern in Africa. Several sub-Saharan African countries have a significant percentage of their populations infected with the virus that causes AIDS. Other African countries that have not yet been hard hit by the epidemic are reluctant to dedicate limited resources to education and prevention. Other health threats such as malnutrition and traditional disease present an immediate need and drain resources that might otherwise be used to prevent the spread of AIDS. In other nations, the resources being used to fight AIDS represent a drain of funds that might otherwise be available to prevent or cure other diseases. In addition, African governments and AIDS patients seldom have the resources to afford expensive drugs that are often used in the treatment of AIDS in the U.S. and Europe. African countries, as well as other nations grappling with the AIDS epidemic, are forced to allocate limited resources among AIDS treatment, prevention, and research towards finding a cure.

Population Growth
Another prominent health concern is global population growth. There is no clear consensus on the global impact of expanding populations. Population growth is seen by many as a threat to the world's resources, the environment, and the quality of human life. Others maintain that population growth is natural and a positive force toward resolving issues that currently confront humanity.

Although the population growth rate in developed countries is significantly lower than that of most developing nations, the populations of industrialized nations put more pressure on the earth's carrying capacity than equal numbers of people in less developed nations. Each individual in an industrialized society consumes more calories, produces more solid waste, uses more fossil fuels, and produces more emissions than his or her counterpart in a poorer country.

In these terms, population growth in industrial nations has been seen as the greater threat to global survival than LDC population growth. However, others argue that the industrialized nations are better able to provide a quality existence for a growing population. They argue that the greatest threat comes from rapid population growth in nations that cannot provide basic nutrition, health care, shelter, or employment for their citizens.

Efforts to control population growth rates have been very controversial. This was especially apparent at the UN Conference on Population, held in Cairo, Egypt, in September 1994. Birth control can be considered an intrusion into the culture and often the religion of countries with high population growth rates. In addition, many developing countries have seen population control efforts as an effort to reduce the population of specific ethnic groups.

Issues for Negotiation:

COMMUNICABLE DISEASES

a. Realizing that different diseases require different actions, how can communicable diseases be treated and prevented?

b. What precautions can be undertaken to prevent the international spread of diseases such as tuberculosis, cholera, and AIDS? How can these efforts be funded?

POPULATION GROWTH

a. Is population growth a positive or negative force? Should population growth be an international concern?

b. If the countries decide that population control should be a goal, how can it be accomplished without violating religions, cultures, human rights, or targeting ethnic groups?

There will be two conferences held on World Health that will specifically examine the issues for negotiation listed above. The first conference will cover the Communicable Disease issues and the second will cover the Population Growth issues.

 

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